Financial assets rose relative to income
Following factors contributed for that: Initial debt levels and house prices were low, giving span for rises in both. Growth in Income and expectations were healthy and the cause of the latter was improved by financial liberalisation. Financial assets rose relative to income. Financial liberalisation authorized households to gear-up by borrowing more than earlier possible. There was stronger population rise in the key house-buying age groups. The supply of houses rose more slowly with construction of social housing falling.
The projected obliteration of property taxes in favour of the Poll Tax enlarged the attractions of property. News from the Bank of England viewing that inflation has reached 3. 1%, prompting the Governor to write to the Chancellor, the scene of an added interest rate tramp in May is more than definite. Whether this will be the last increase in this present cycle remains to be seen, though it looks that finally the housing market is starting to respond to the tighter economical pressures.
In 2007, House price increase has averaged 0. 4% compared to 1. 1% in 2006 and the periodical records support the notion that house price increase is slackening, though the pressures placed on the market mean that rather than crashing, growth will still remain relatively stiff as the year continues. Demand remains a key factor for apprehension, in London and, to a degree, the South West. Latest records from the government show the number of households in England is expected to enhance by 223,000 per annum, excluding immigration.
Present house building projections show a rate of 200,000 units per annum, meaning there will still be a shortfall to meet demand for several years to come. The current situation is very different from the 1990s. in the 90s interest rates were very high and peaked at 16%. We are possibly unlikely to see vast scale cases of negative fairness like we had in the 90s, due to the vast equity landlords are sitting on at the moment.
What to do – Action Points? • If you are a landlord and if you are contemplating selling your home, given that sharp falls may just be round the corner, unless the government can delay the expected by aggressive fall of interest rates. • Cash is king – Fixed interest and government bonds are increasingly becoming popular. • Stock market investment – Though we have seen strong gains in the international market, longer term it provides good opportunity.
Many analysts are calling for sharp falls in the markets and this should provide a good opportunity of haggle hunting. Rising markets should also provide a good opportunity in the market correction. Indicating that the market is overrated, a being able to forecast the timing of correction, are logically mutually exclusive although it is frequently supposed that the former is only valid if the latter is correct.
At the close of 2003 “The Nationwide latest records appear to have proven wrong those pundits who had forecasted a clear correction in prices during the past year,” disregarding the statement that no pundit had made any such forecast, and that such forecasts had been contrived by these areas of the media themselves with the help of the finance banks, so that they could be successfully knocked down later.
At the end of 2003 this formed the vicious result that prices could become more overrated than the finance banks had forecasted, and yet, this made the overvaluation story look less convincing and the finance banks look more precise Assuming that housing is a good long-term investment has also encouraged UK investors to appear beyond the domestic market. In recent years, Purchases of abroad properties have surged with Spain and France becoming most popular (shown in figure).
Eastern Europe is also accounting for a growing share of dealings. Social Trends, 2005 edition, recommended one third of UK adults were considering buying an abroad property. This looks indicative of herd-like behaviour, with investors rushing to invest in property without passably assessing the risks involved. UK investment in overseas property House prices and hence housing demand are conditioned on consumers’ expenditure.
Two sets of results are proved it. The first measures of consumers’ expenditure that excludes housing services and the parallel understood consumer price deflator. The second measures whether similar results can in reality be obtained using total consumers’ expenditure and the collective consumers’ expenditure deflator. Both approaches suggest that any bias beginning from the use of entire expenditure is not especially important.
In both cases we start by giving the results obtained using the Johansen procedure, before exploring the findings from more straight single equation approaches. Because of the difficulty of obtaining land for house building, The UK housing market has not seen much of a supply answer to the increase in house prices, mostly Demographic issues, net migration, are very helpful of housing demand in the UK.
Demand and supply in the UK housing market are delicately impartial with completions just about in line with the pace of household pattern. While debt has increased sharply in the UK the increase in interest remunerated on debt is calculated by the Bank of England to have been just 0. 7% of quarterly consumption since the end of 2003. The percentage of not reusable income engrossed by repayments on an advance of 90% of the average house price remains below 40%. The performance of the UK housing market has been regrettable.
The recent stock of housing is too small and is more and more located in the some wrong parts of the country. Prices of house have been unpredictable, conferring bonus gains on those lucky to buy at the correct time, and appalling losses on those who bought at the top of the market or wrong time. Finally, large provincial disparities in prices foil the inter-regional migration of people and firms, leading to mismatches between supply and demand for different kinds of workers in different areas.
This short article has given few proposals that could make a humble improvement to the condition. Firstly, an encouragement of long-term fixed-rate mortgages would help households to discard some of the risk that they presently bear when they take out a large variable-rate mortgage. Secondly, rise in the receptiveness of the supply of housing would guide to greater house-building in upswings which would tend to frenzied expectations that have freshly arisen in some regions of the country.
And third, a reasonable reform of the Council Tax would make it behave more like a pure property tax and this would also help to steady local housing markets.
1. RUFUS POLLOCK. POLICY CHANGE AND THE UK HOUSING MARKET. 9 Feb. 2008. www. rufuspollock. org/economics/housing/policy_change_and_the_uk_housing_market. pdf 2. Deirdre Meehan, Nov. 2005. The UK Housing Market and the New Wave of Immigration. 9 Feb. 2008. www. sam. ie/pdf/news/UK_Housing_Market_Nov_2005_NCB. pdf